Monday, October 13, 2008

Final election prediction

Paulitics has published his final election prediction based on a metaanalysis of all election predictions out there. He published two projections. I'll take halfway between them.

CPC: 128
LPC: 84
NDP: 39
BQ: 55
IND: 2

For interests sake, here are the calls from my other three favorite sites:

Election Prediction Project
CPC: 125
LPC: 94
NDP: 36
BQ: 51
IND: 2

DemocraticSpace:
CPC: 128
LPC: 92
NDP: 34
BQ: 52
IND: 2

UBC Election Stock Market:
CPC: 131
LPC: 88
NDP: 38
BQ: 49
IND: 2

For what it's worth, here is my prediction.
CPC: 128
LPC: 93
NDP: 36
BQ: 49
IND: 2

I also optimistically predict a win for NDP in Edmonton Strathcona. I can dream too you know.

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